I've noticed similar happenings with sites I monitor and I too have been searching for an answer. I know Google is working to improve the "real time" results to show more on topic, on date events so you can't always be sure daily of a certain spot. Also, tools we use to run these reports are databases and only get updated so often, they are not truly "real time"
I've also noticed differences in ranking reports across several tools so which is the best? I use seomoz, webceo, ahrefs and semrush and I rarely get an agreement amongst these.
In the long run, my opinion is that "ranking" for a certain keyword is not as important as seeing relevant traffic for a keyword coming through your seo campaigns. So, if your ranking drops, does your traffic drop for that keyword? If yes, then it may be an optimization thing and you need to look at link authority, competitors that are now ahead,...or maybe it was just a fluctuation in real time results.
Interested to hear what the experts have to say.