I'd like to offer recommendations where the existing site could possibly just have an SEO problem that won't go away just by getting the new domain value, however when I went to rocketproblems.com just now, I got a "server not found" message.
So without seeing your site, I'll offer insight on what to consider doing if you do the switch.
Exact match or partial match domains do offer value. They are, however, on Google's radar for possibly getting less value than they do now, though Matt Cutts' exact language in a video earlier this year was they're considering a minor / slight reduction in value.
I wouldn't go by the competitors visible actions. Just one month is not long enough to determine value of such a transfer. It could easily take a couple months or longer to rebound and build the proper new trust factors that the new domain name will require, including links to the new domain.
Links to the existing site should be examined to find out which ones you can request being changed to the new domain name as well, since 301 redirects (vital to ensure these are implemented across the board and tested for verification) do take a hit on passing value.
I would also recommend a full press release through PRWeb.com or PRNewswire.com upon change to the new domain, as well as a social media campaign to promote the new domain.
So if you are prepared to wait out the potential drop over an extended period of time, do a full-court press.